Wednesday, January 22, 2025

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Predicting the 97th Academy Awards Nominees

UPDATED 1/23/25 with the actual nominees. I've kept my predicted titles: incorrect guesses are now in red, unpredicted nominees in green. I'll warn you, the only categories I predicted perfectly are Best Director, Best Actress, Best Sound, and the Supporting Acting categories.

The nominations for the 97th Academy Awards are tomorrow, a celebration of the best in 2024 cinema.

'Anora' won the Palme d'Or at Cannes - can it also win Best Picture?

For the first time in a decade, my own tally for 2024 viewings currently sits at 60, but I'm gonna give myself another ten days to catch up. In the meantime, based on nominations given by the various guilds, critics' groups, Golden Globes, and BAFTAs, here's what I think will be nominated tomorrow at 5:30am PST:

Best Picture
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
I'm Still Here
Nickel Boys
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance
Wicked: Part One

Best Director
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez
Sean Baker, Anora
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
Coralie Fargeat, The Substance
James Mangold, A Complete Unknown

Best Actor
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Daniel Craig, Queer
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

Best Actress
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked: Part One
Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez
Mikey Madison, Anora
Demi Moore, The Substance
Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here

Best Supporting Actor
Yura Borisov, Anora
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

Best Supporting Actress
Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown
Ariana Grande, Wicked: Part One
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

Best Original Screenplay
Anora
The Brutalist
Hard Truths
A Real Pain
September 5
The Substance

Best Adapted Screenplay
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Nickel Boys
Sing Sing
The Wild Robot

Best Score
Blitz
The Brutalist
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Nosferatu
Wicked
The Wild Robot

Best Original Song
Elton John: Never Too Late - "Never Too Late"
Emilia Pérez - "El Mal"
Emilia Pérez - "Mi Camino"
Sing Sing - "Like a Bird"
The Six Triple Eight - "The Journey"
The Wild Robot - "Kiss the Sky"

Best Cinematography
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Maria
Nickel Boys
Nosferatu

Best Production Design
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Wicked: Part One

Best Editing
Anora
The Brutalist
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
September 5
Wicked: Part One

Best Costume Design
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Gladiator II
Nosferatu
Wicked: Part One

Best Makeup and hairstyling
A Different Man
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Nosferatu
The Substance
Wicked: Part One

Best Sound
A Complete Unknown
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Wicked: Part One
The Wild Robot

Best Visual Effects
Alien: Romulus
Better Man
Civil War
Dune: Part Two
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Twisters
Wicked: Part One

Best Documentary Feature
Dahomey
Black Box Diaries
No Other Land
Porcelain War
Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat
Sugarcane
Will & Harper

Best Animated Feature
Flow
Inside Out 2
The Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim
Memoir of a Snail
Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
The Wild Robot

Best International Feature
Emilia Pérez
Flow
The Girl with the Needle
I'm Still Here
Kneecap
The Seed of the Sacred Fig

Best Documentary Short
"Death by Numbers"
"I Am Ready, Warden"
"Incident"
"Instruments of a Beating Heart"
"Makayla's Voice: A Letter to the World"
"Once Upon a Time in the Ukraine"
"The Only Girl in the Orchestra"

Best Animated Short
"Beautiful Men"
"A Bear Named Wojtek"
"In the Shadow of the Cypress"
"Magic Candies"
"Maybe Elephants"
"Wander to Wonder"
"The Wild-Tempered Claviar"
"Yuck!"

Best Live Action Short
"A Lien"
"Anuja"
"I Am Not a Robot"
"The Last Ranger"
"The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent"
"An Orange from Jaffa"
"Room Taken"

We'll see how foolish I look when the dawn comes...

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