Thursday, December 18, 2008

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Holy fuck my shit, folks. This is it. Well, not "it", per se, since we're still a ways from the Oscars (curse thee, February!), but...this'll do. I love the Guilds. I feel like it really means more when an award or nomination comes from peers, people who understand the craft inside and out. They were the first to honor Ruby Dee last year, they nominated Leonardo DiCaprio twice in 2006, and they love Catherine Keener. That's good enough for me.

Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet, The Reader
REACTION: I throw up my hands with this category. Cruz, Davis and Winslet are locks, yes. But one group prefers Henson, another likes Tomei, no one loves DeWitt (for shame!), and Adams looks poised to get her second Oscar nom. I'm sure this isn't the Oscar roster; either Adams or Henson is out, making room for Tomei. I need to see these movies, dammit! I predicted 3/5 correctly, but I love the love that's loving on Henson.

Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire
REACTION: Oh, wow. Did not see that Patel nom coming. 4/5 predicted correctly, with wild card Gary Oldman left out in the cold. And still, I don't know if this is the Oscar roster. Only seen Downey and Ledger at this point, but I expect to have this corrected by New Year's.

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
REACTION: Holy...Hawkins elbowed out in favor of Hathaway, my own personal favorite from the two I've seen? Blessed day! 4/5 predicted correctly, and I feel certain that this here may be the Oscar roster. Will critical favorite Hawkins replace Leo or Hathaway? God knows. I do smell a win on the horizon for one of my all-time favorite actresses.

Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
REACTION: 3/5 predicted correctly. How could I have forgotten about Jenkins? Stupid of me, really. This is definite, though. Actress was a "may be". This is a "for sure". There's your Oscar list.

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Slumdog Millionaire
REACTION: 3/5 predicted correctly, with my wild card Synecdoche out of the picture, and my ensemble pick Dark Knight shown little love. Interesting group here. Very multicultural. Frost/Nixon is the odd man out, as the sole film to exclusively feature white Anglo-Saxon heterosexual men. Am I wrong?

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