Monday, March 15, 2021

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The 93rd Oscar Nominations: Surprises, Etc.

Forty-one feature films nominated this morning, led by Mank with ten. By my count, there were five big surprises this Oscar Nomination morn. In order of shock:

1) 
Lakeith Stanfield nominated in Best Supporting Actor for Judas and the Black Messiah. A shocker for two reasons: first of all, he was not tipped in any previous awards ceremony before this; but more importantly, he wasn't even campaigned as Supporting by Warner Bros.! So as not to compete, Stanfield was pushed for Lead and Daniel Kaluuya for Supporting. Both made it in Supporting, which makes me wonder how close Kaluuya came to pulling a Kate Winslet in The Reader-style category switcheroo. It's worth mentioning: I predicted Stanfield's nomination here back in April.

2) 
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom under-performs. Nominated by almost every guild, leading the conversation in Best Actor, and my second favorite movie of 2020, Ma Rainey managed only five nominations - Best Actor (Chadwick Boseman), Best Actress (Viola Davis), Best Production Design, Best Costume Design, Best Makeup & Hairstyling - getting shut out of Best Adapted Screenplay (madness) and Best Picture (lunacy). 

3) 
Da 5 Bloods gets a nomination! I had feared that it would be completely shut out (certainly its absence in Best Editing and Best Actor makes one wonder how voters define "Best"), but fortunately, this top-tier Spike Lee joint will not go down in history as a This Had Oscar Buzz entrant. Lee's longtime collaborator Terence Blanchard was nominated for Best Score.

4) 
Only eight nominees in Best Picture. Many of my friends were predicting as many as ten, I predicted nine. The aforementioned absence of Ma Rainey's Black Bottom broke my heart; the absence of One Night in Miami..., which for a time looked to be a big contender for Best Director as well, was also pretty surprising. Nothing shocking included.

5)
Another Round's Thomas Vinterberg nominated for Best Director over Aaron Sorkin. An alternate choice for many predictors (my Oscar trivia teammate recently made this very prediction on Facebook, you'll have to take my word for it). Still, I'm surprised that he unseated Sorkin instead of David Fincher or Emerald Fennell. 

The final roster of nominees after the jump:

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Onward
Over the Moon
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Soul
Wolfwalkers

Correctly predicted 3/5. I am over the moon about Over the Moon's nomination!

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Emma.
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio

Correctly predicted 4/5.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Emma.
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Mulan
Pinocchio

Correctly predicted 4/5. I had changed my prediction at the last minute from Pinocchio to Ammonite, but clearly that was foolish.

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Another Round
Better Days
Collective
The Man Who Sold His Skin
Quo Vadis, Aida?

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Collective
Crip Camp
The Mole Agent
My Octopus Teacher
Time

Correctly predicted 2/5.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
"Colette"
"A Concerto is a Conversation"
"Do Not Split"
"Hunger Ward"
"A Love Song for Latasha"

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Love and Monsters
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Olivia Colman, The Father
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Youn Yuh-jung, Minari

Correctly predicted 4/5. Youn makes history as the first Korean actor nominated in Oscar history!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami...
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah

Correctly predicted 4/5.

BEST FILM EDITING
The Father
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Correctly predicted 4/5.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga - "Husavik"
Judas and the Black Messiah - "Fight For You"
The Life Ahead - "Io si"
One Night in Miami... - "Speak Now"
The Trial of the Chicago 7 - "Hear My Voice"

Correctly predicted 4/5.

BEST SCORE
Da 5 Bloods
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Soul

Correctly predicted 4/5.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
"Feeling Through"
"The Letter Room"
"The Present"
"Two Distant Strangers"
"White Eye"

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
"Burrow"
"Genius Loci"
"If Anything Happens I Love You"
"Opera"
"Yes-People"

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST SOUND
Greyhound
Mank
News of the World
Soul
Sound of Metal

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Father
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Tenet

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
The Father
Nomadland
One Night in Miami...
The White Tiger

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Judas and the Black Messiah
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Correctly predicted 3/5.

BEST ACTRESS
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

Correctly predicted 5/5. The exact lineup for Golden Globe Actress in a Drama. Yeri Han and Nicole Beharie both should have been here.

BEST ACTOR
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Steven Yeun, Minari

Correctly predicted 5/5. The exact lineup for SAG Lead Actor.

BEST DIRECTOR
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Thomas Vinterberg, Another Round
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

Correctly predicted 4/5. First time two women are nominated for Best Director.

BEST PICTURE
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Correctly predicted 7/8.


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