Sunday, January 25, 2009

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People, people, people, surely we must all realize that this is a crazy year. The Best Picture frontrunner is not the Ensemble frontrunner. The actors match five-for-five, but the supporting actresses have a huge difference that effects the actresses, and the supporting actors....well, actually, it's business as usual, isn't it?

But, the show must go on. And it will. So, I must give you my SAG predictions.

Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Kate Winslet, The Reader

RUN-DOWN: Okay, so, the challenge here is with Kate Winslet. Will she win in supporting, leading, both, or neither? I can't see her winning neither, nor do I see her getting both. Just because they might want to spread the love. But I don't think she gets it here. I say Penelope Cruz gets it here.

Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire

RUN-DOWN: At this point, I don't think there can be any other. Heath wins, music swells, standing ovation and tears.

Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler

RUN-DOWN: The leaders of the pack thus far have been Penn and Rourke. Both give great performances, with Rourke in a comeback role and Penn smiling. It's kind of a big deal. But I see a Ruby Dee scenario, where they say, "Thanks for all your hard work!" Langella wins.

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie, Changeling
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

RUN-DOWN: And this is where Kate wins. They may love the others, but Meryl has enough, Angie's is just ass-kissing, Melissa's honored by the nom, and Anne's not Kate Winslet. That's what I say.

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