Because of this rule, though, we get to see work that otherwise wouldn't be so honored up for a nomination! And while no one wants to get in due to a technicality (ex.: no one wants to be crowned Mt. Rose American Teen Princess because of an exploding swan), they get to put "award-nominated screenwriter" on their resume. You know that's gotta feel good.
Flight - John Gatins
Looper - Rian Johnson
The Master - Paul Thomas Anderson
Moonrise Kingdom - Wes Anderson/Roman Coppola
Zero Dark Thirty - Mark Boal
Big news, I think, for Rian Johnson's Looper, which has quietly yet steadily been building steam in this category, beginning with the National Board of Review. Meanwhile, this seemed almost a given for the Andersons, Wes and Paul Thomas, since their writing has always been more honored than their directing. Yet I can't help but feel The Master might not make it to the Big Show, since it's so much more of director's piece than a writer's one. Expect either that or Flight (the weakest nominee here, though not a terrible one at that) to go MIA for Django, maybe both if Amour gets in.
PREDICTED WINNER: Zero Dark Thirty
Argo - Chris Terrio
Life of Pi - David Magee
Lincoln - Tony Kushner
The Perks of Being a Wallflower - Stephen Chbosky
Silver Linings Playbook - David O. Russell
Unless I'm going through some dementia-related lapses, there is no other title I can think of that could displace the nominee you see here, three of which are quite strong (I'd immediately replace Silver Linings with Cloud Atlas, but perhaps I'm alone on that one). Perks of Being a Wallflower is the only title not connected with an Oscar frontrunner for Best Picture, but it's such a strong, beautiful piece of work that to not recognize it would be...insane. And this really seems like anyone's game at this point.
PREDICTED WINNER: Lincoln