The Shape of Water
Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Not having seen The Post, I can only say that it's a hell of a cast they've assembled. My other four picks are all films where you really feel the community of characters on-screen - not just the headliners who will get their names on the official nominee roster, but the bit characters, too. The brother's girlfriend in Lady Bird, the neighbor losing her mind in Mudbound, the meek security man in The Shape of Water, the black chief in Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri: they are all indelible to their films and stories, all brought to vivid life by their actors. That's what makes for an Outstanding Cast.
The remainder, after the jump
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Tom Hanks, The Post
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post
I played safe with both my leading categories. Sure, there are whispers here and there of Jake Gyllenhaal or Jessica Chastain, but I don't think anyone would bat an eye at either of these lineups.
Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards outside Ebbing Missouri
I do wonder if the popularity of Three Billboards can make for a surprising-not-shocking Woody Harrelson inclusion. He's great in the movie, vital and unforgettable.
Best Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Julia Roberts, Wonder
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Again, most of these names are floating around already - hell, four of them are up for the Golden Globe! My wild card slot is Julia Roberts, a beloved actress delivering a perfect performance in a feel-good family film that everyone saw. There are more than a few parents on the nominating committee, I'm sure.