Saturday, January 23, 2010

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Status Quo

Just a few more hours to go until the Screen Actors Guild reveals their picks for the best performances of the year, even though none of their nominees include Bright Star, A Serious Man, In the Loop or Moon (yet still include Invictus).

As ever, here is how I think it will go down: dully, with no surprises. I'd say "Hopefully, I'm wrong", but I might win something if I'm not, so I really hope I'm right.

STUNT ENSEMBLE
Public Enemies
Star Trek
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen
WHAT WILL WIN: Star Trek. Public Enemies will have to be content with being remembered in any category at an awards show this year.
WHAT SHOULD WIN: Probably Star Trek. I mean, just the Sulu fight alone...

ENSEMBLE
An Education
The Hurt Locker
Inglourious Basterds
Nine
Precious
WHAT WILL WIN: Inglourious Basterds. The strength of their ensemble is undeniable.
WHAT SHOULD WIN: Inglourious Basterds.

ACTOR
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
WHO WILL WIN: Jeff Bridges, in the year of making up to Jeff Bridges. No, that's not fair; Crazy Heart is probably crazy good.
WHO SHOULD WIN: Colin Firth, maybe?

ACTRESS
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
WHO WILL WIN: Meryl Streep, though I'm almost tempted to call it for Bullock. But no, the Streep will get it, making her the first lead actress to win back-to-back SAG awards.
WHO SHOULD WIN: Streep. Or Mulligan. Or Sidibe. I haven't really decided.

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
WHO WILL WIN: This is Waltz's show, although I do perceive a threat from veteran actor Plummer.
WHO SHOULD WIN: Waltz, but I haven't seen The Messenger or The Last Station.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Diane Kruger, Inglourious Basterds
Mo'Nique, Precious
WHO WILL WIN: Bad-ass Mo'Nique. I know when Jeff Wells calls her that, he's being a dick, but I really do think she's a bad-ass.
WHO SHOULD WIN: Personal preferences aside (I really loved Farmiga and Kruger), why shouldn't it be Mo'Nique? She's got a good head on her shoulders, she gave one of the best evil mom performances since A Patch of Blue, and...well, she's Mo'Nique.

[EDIT: Thanks Andrew, the word "woman" has been corrected to "lead actress"]

1 comment:

Andrew: Encore Entertainment said...

Renee Zellweger won back to back SAG awards in 2002/2003. Is it weird that I know that from memory?